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Red324
4539175.8
3754104.7
3313142.4
Blue207
6056108.0
3007123.6
4818131.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2992630100200400500600324207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175.811.3
114.0125.3
Auto23.6
Teleop127.9
End25.5
red by 44.0
4818
#19
131.94.3
104.2108.5
Auto16.9
Teleop99.8
End17.7
Second
142.47.4
101.4108.8
Auto18.6
Teleop97.6
End26.1
red by 18.8
3007
#31
123.64.6
108.3112.8
Auto20.1
Teleop97.3
End7.2
Third
3754
#34
104.79.4
96.6106.0
Auto15.4
Teleop80.1
End6.7
blue by 3.3
6056
#29
108.09.4
95.5104.8
Auto19.1
Teleop81.3
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed