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Qual 222018 Great Northern Regional
Red328
877106.6
3750164.0
2491146.6
Blue178
2531119.4
5172187.5
3298105.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275308100200400500328178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3750
#5
164.07.7
106.6→114.3
Auto19.3
Teleop120.0
End27.6
blue by 23.5
5172
#1
187.59.7
135.1→144.9
Auto24.2
Teleop123.7
End42.8
Second
2491
#7
146.67.7
108.6→116.4
Auto20.2
Teleop109.5
End17.3
red by 27.1
2531
#32
119.46.8
100.5→107.3
Auto15.9
Teleop86.3
End20.8
Third
877
#45
106.63.9
94.4→98.3
Auto12.0
Teleop83.0
End13.6
red by 1.1
3298
#43
105.65.2
96.5→101.7
Auto17.2
Teleop78.8
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed