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Red310
7257116.5
1986146.5
6175127.6
Blue367
4198140.3
6056108.0
4239130.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273276100200300400500310367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#46
146.52.5
154.9152.4
Auto17.8
Teleop111.6
End14.6
red by 6.3
4198
#18
140.32.9
125.8128.7
Auto16.4
Teleop107.3
End19.4
Second
6175
#27
127.61.1
114.9116.0
Auto15.2
Teleop97.6
End16.5
blue by 3.1
4239
#13
130.74.9
110.2115.1
Auto17.6
Teleop98.5
End15.9
Third
7257
#33
116.53.5
101.2104.7
Auto16.7
Teleop84.5
End16.8
red by 8.5
6056
#29
108.02.2
110.6108.3
Auto19.1
Teleop81.3
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed