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Qual 522018 Great Northern Regional
Red427
4818131.9
3313142.4
5576151.9
Blue217
3102121.1
2491146.6
3277126.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268341100200300400500600427217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5576
#3
151.92.0
129.3→131.3
Auto19.2
Teleop104.1
End32.5
red by 5.3
2491
#7
146.64.9
136.0→141.0
Auto20.2
Teleop109.5
End17.3
Second
3313
#8
142.43.3
127.8→131.1
Auto18.6
Teleop97.6
End26.1
red by 15.7
3277
#21
126.72.5
120.6→123.1
Auto14.8
Teleop101.7
End10.5
Third
4818
#19
131.90.9
111.7→112.6
Auto16.9
Teleop99.8
End17.7
red by 10.8
3102
#36
121.14.2
121.1→125.3
Auto18.4
Teleop88.1
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed