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Red229
3130153.7
3300116.1
1792133.8
Blue327
3298105.6
4181136.2
5576151.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352259100200300400500600229327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.72.8
152.1154.9
Auto20.8
Teleop112.7
End18.7
red by 1.8
151.95.0
131.3136.3
Auto19.2
Teleop104.1
End32.5
Second
1792
#26
133.85.6
123.1128.7
Auto18.1
Teleop105.4
End8.8
blue by 2.5
4181
#11
136.23.0
123.1126.1
Auto19.4
Teleop98.3
End20.3
Third
3300
#25
116.10.5
116.7117.2
Auto17.7
Teleop89.6
End9.9
red by 10.6
3298
#43
105.60.6
100.6101.2
Auto17.2
Teleop78.8
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed