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Red248
6453121.7
3883129.8
5658137.6
Blue317
4818131.9
4539175.8
877106.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336286100200400500600248317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5658
#22
137.65.6
128.9134.6
Auto16.4
Teleop103.1
End21.9
blue by 38.2
175.84.6
154.0158.7
Auto23.6
Teleop127.9
End25.5
Second
3883
#23
129.83.7
124.5128.2
Auto17.8
Teleop95.3
End12.3
blue by 2.0
4818
#19
131.94.6
112.6117.2
Auto16.9
Teleop99.8
End17.7
Third
6453
#41
121.74.0
128.5132.5
Auto14.3
Teleop90.9
End14.5
red by 15.0
877
#45
106.62.7
109.2106.5
Auto12.0
Teleop83.0
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed