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Red206
313498.9
4674123.1
2472130.7
Blue302
3277126.7
3275124.9
1986146.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2613230100200400500206302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2472
#15
130.71.9
125.4127.3
Auto19.0
Teleop102.4
End7.7
blue by 15.9
1986
#46
146.50.2
152.4152.7
Auto17.8
Teleop111.6
End14.6
Second
4674
#44
123.10.5
127.8128.3
Auto15.9
Teleop91.8
End13.9
blue by 3.6
3277
#21
126.70.0
123.1123.0
Auto14.8
Teleop101.7
End10.5
Third
3134
#28
98.92.5
104.9102.5
Auto14.9
Teleop76.4
End9.0
blue by 25.9
3275
#35
124.92.3
116.4118.7
Auto15.4
Teleop96.4
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed