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Red320
1792133.8
4181136.2
3367102.0
Blue190
3102121.1
7048130.8
2472130.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275314100200400500320190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4181
#11
136.22.7
132.0134.7
Auto19.4
Teleop98.3
End20.3
red by 5.5
7048
#14
130.83.1
124.9128.0
Auto19.0
Teleop100.5
End10.9
Second
1792
#26
133.80.2
133.6133.8
Auto18.1
Teleop105.4
End8.8
red by 3.1
2472
#15
130.72.1
128.3130.4
Auto19.0
Teleop102.4
End7.7
Third
3367
#47
102.01.6
104.3102.6
Auto18.1
Teleop74.2
End7.3
blue by 19.1
3102
#36
121.11.2
123.5122.3
Auto18.4
Teleop88.1
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed