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Red448
876172.0
525178.1
6056108.0
Blue155
4239130.7
4674123.1
5658137.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3802540100200300500600448155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
178.13.0
168.7171.7
Auto23.8
Teleop130.7
End23.8
red by 40.5
5658
#22
137.60.3
137.3137.6
Auto16.4
Teleop103.1
End21.9
Second
876
#6
172.01.8
168.7170.5
Auto23.2
Teleop125.9
End24.5
red by 41.3
4239
#13
130.72.8
126.7129.5
Auto17.6
Teleop98.5
End15.9
Third
6056
#29
108.00.5
107.5108.0
Auto19.1
Teleop81.3
End7.6
blue by 15.1
4674
#44
123.11.6
124.7123.1
Auto15.9
Teleop91.8
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed