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Red260
877106.6
2220130.7
313498.9
Blue337
5576151.9
3007123.6
2491146.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246335100200300400500600260337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#20
130.74.6
126.1130.7
Auto19.6
Teleop99.4
End12.5
blue by 21.2
151.92.2
145.1147.3
Auto19.2
Teleop104.1
End32.5
Second
877
#45
106.61.2
105.5106.6
Auto12.0
Teleop83.0
End13.6
blue by 39.9
146.60.4
145.7145.3
Auto20.2
Teleop109.5
End17.3
Third
3134
#28
98.90.6
98.498.9
Auto14.9
Teleop76.4
End9.0
blue by 24.6
3007
#31
123.62.0
125.5123.6
Auto20.1
Teleop97.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned