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Quarterfinal 1-12018 New England District Championship
Red457
319220.0
195242.5
5846149.0
Blue295
4564191.2
4557187.1
95181.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439332100200400500600700800900457295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
242.50.0
243.3→243.3
Auto27.2
Teleop178.3
End35.4
red by 51.4
4564
#24
191.20.4
192.0→191.6
Auto23.6
Teleop145.8
End18.6
Second
319
#2
220.00.3
218.9→219.2
Auto23.7
Teleop160.4
End35.7
red by 32.8
4557
#11
187.10.1
187.3→187.2
Auto21.5
Teleop136.8
End28.7
Third
5846
#51
149.00.2
150.7→150.5
Auto20.9
Teleop109.9
End15.8
blue by 32.3
95
#29
181.20.0
181.4→181.3
Auto17.2
Teleop143.0
End21.7