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Red467
238206.5
3555166.4
2168180.5
Blue291
138153.5
1768134.6
5422116.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4322100100300400500600467291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#37
206.51.0
208.6207.6
Auto22.0
Teleop162.6
End20.6
red by 53.0
138
#64
153.52.5
156.1153.5
Auto20.0
Teleop117.0
End16.7
Second
2168
#38
180.50.1
180.3180.3
Auto21.0
Teleop143.4
End15.5
red by 45.9
1768
#58
134.61.9
132.7134.6
Auto18.3
Teleop103.9
End17.8
Third
3555
#34
166.40.5
165.9166.4
Auto20.8
Teleop122.3
End22.8
red by 49.8
5422
#49
116.60.6
116.0116.6
Auto16.1
Teleop93.2
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed