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Red408
3930129.4
4909167.0
319220.0
Blue334
558154.3
175184.3
1699153.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4073400100200300500600700800408334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#2
220.00.6
218.3218.9
Auto23.7
Teleop160.4
End35.7
red by 35.7
175
#5
184.31.1
182.0183.2
Auto22.7
Teleop131.8
End30.8
Second
4909
#40
167.00.4
166.7167.0
Auto17.6
Teleop125.9
End26.0
red by 12.8
558
#36
154.30.2
154.6154.4
Auto23.7
Teleop108.6
End21.5
Third
3930
#59
129.41.4
128.0129.4
Auto18.0
Teleop98.1
End17.1
blue by 23.7
1699
#61
153.10.4
153.4153.1
Auto19.1
Teleop113.7
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
37%Face the Boss oddsEarned38%Face the Boss oddsMissed