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Red455
61174.3
195242.5
88160.2
Blue219
6329156.4
6763178.3
1058172.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422295100200500600700800455219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
242.50.2
243.5243.3
Auto27.2
Teleop178.3
End35.4
red by 64.3
6763
#18
178.30.5
177.8178.3
Auto20.5
Teleop138.2
End21.6
Second
61
#23
174.31.0
175.3174.3
Auto23.4
Teleop126.6
End21.5
red by 1.7
1058
#42
172.50.2
172.3172.5
Auto18.6
Teleop126.6
End26.9
Third
88
#44
160.20.6
159.3159.9
Auto17.8
Teleop130.3
End13.3
red by 3.8
6329
#30
156.40.0
156.4156.4
Auto21.0
Teleop112.7
End22.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
34%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed