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Red265
2342154.0
2877182.4
6933161.3
Blue417
7153107.7
230220.9
5813171.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339343200250300400450265417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#17
182.41.2
181.1182.2
Auto25.2
Teleop140.0
End17.7
blue by 38.5
230
#8
220.90.4
220.9220.5
Auto25.4
Teleop168.5
End25.0
Second
6933
#56
161.31.1
162.5161.3
Auto24.3
Teleop121.3
End14.7
blue by 10.3
5813
#19
171.60.0
171.7171.6
Auto22.8
Teleop132.7
End15.8
Third
2342
#53
154.00.4
153.6154.0
Auto18.0
Teleop121.0
End16.7
red by 46.3
7153
#62
107.70.2
107.5107.7
Auto15.3
Teleop80.9
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed