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Red293
138153.5
5687203.3
78175.9
Blue409
1768134.6
88160.2
7127131.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4322180100300400500600700293409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.30.3
203.9204.2
Auto22.4
Teleop156.0
End26.3
red by 43.1
88
#44
160.20.9
159.7158.8
Auto17.8
Teleop130.3
End13.3
Second
78
#32
175.90.5
178.2177.7
Auto22.4
Teleop125.8
End27.8
red by 41.3
1768
#58
134.60.3
128.7129.1
Auto18.3
Teleop103.9
End17.8
Third
138
#64
153.50.7
158.3157.6
Auto20.0
Teleop117.0
End16.7
red by 22.5
7127
#12
131.00.5
130.4129.8
Auto19.2
Teleop98.4
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed