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Red217
663156.5
811142.9
2170166.8
Blue316
6763178.3
3930129.4
999141.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347310100200400500600700217316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2170
#10
166.80.7
166.7167.4
Auto25.1
Teleop119.8
End21.9
blue by 11.4
6763
#18
178.30.7
176.1176.8
Auto20.5
Teleop138.2
End21.6
Second
663
#57
156.50.7
159.7159.0
Auto18.4
Teleop122.0
End13.1
red by 15.1
999
#52DQ
141.41.5
143.9142.4
Auto16.8
Teleop110.1
End14.6
Third
811
#35
142.90.5
144.8144.3
Auto23.2
Teleop105.4
End12.6
red by 13.5
3930
#59
129.41.0
128.5127.6
Auto18.0
Teleop98.1
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed