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Red354
5813171.6
6329156.4
4176133.7
Blue265
4564191.2
5000142.1
5422116.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3313120100200400500600354265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#19
171.60.3
172.0171.7
Auto22.8
Teleop132.7
End15.8
blue by 19.5
4564
#24
191.20.0
192.6192.6
Auto23.6
Teleop145.8
End18.6
Second
6329
#30
156.40.4
156.8156.4
Auto21.0
Teleop112.7
End22.0
red by 14.3
5000
#63
142.12.2
146.6144.4
Auto18.0
Teleop105.2
End15.2
Third
4176
#41
133.70.7
132.1132.9
Auto17.1
Teleop101.6
End19.0
red by 17.1
5422
#49
116.61.5
114.4116.0
Auto16.1
Teleop93.2
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed