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Qual 1102018 New England District Championship
Red453
125214.9
230220.9
133214.1
Blue157
195242.5
138153.5
6328159.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4603110200400600800453157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#8
220.90.4
221.3→220.9
Auto25.4
Teleop168.5
End25.0
blue by 21.6
195
#1
242.51.5
242.1→243.5
Auto27.2
Teleop178.3
End35.4
Second
125
#13
214.90.2
215.7→215.9
Auto25.7
Teleop162.1
End25.7
red by 55.6
6328
#26
159.30.1
160.9→160.8
Auto19.0
Teleop124.2
End14.1
Third
133
#4
214.10.1
214.5→214.6
Auto25.8
Teleop154.4
End33.3
red by 60.6
138
#64
153.51.5
157.6→156.1
Auto20.0
Teleop117.0
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
99%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
65%Face the Boss oddsEarned35%Face the Boss oddsMissed