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Red430
6201155.7
2836156.8
5687203.3
Blue407
4909167.0
999141.4
467143.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4012740100200500600700800430407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.30.7
204.2203.5
Auto22.4
Teleop156.0
End26.3
red by 36.3
4909
#40
167.00.2
166.9166.7
Auto17.6
Teleop125.9
End26.0
Second
2836
#33
156.80.3
156.7156.4
Auto19.8
Teleop112.6
End24.7
red by 13.8
467
#22
143.11.1
140.7141.7
Auto18.1
Teleop106.0
End17.4
Third
6201
#25
155.72.2
151.0153.2
Auto19.5
Teleop123.8
End16.3
red by 14.3
999
#52
141.40.8
142.4141.5
Auto16.8
Teleop110.1
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
44%Face the Boss oddsEarned15%Face the Boss oddsMissed