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Red483
2877182.4
1519179.8
5735143.2
Blue274
4557187.1
5856143.0
2342154.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3983050200600800483274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#17
182.40.8
180.2181.1
Auto25.2
Teleop140.0
End17.7
blue by 4.7
4557
#11
187.10.1
187.6187.5
Auto21.5
Teleop136.8
End28.7
Second
1519
#31
179.80.9
177.0177.9
Auto22.2
Teleop141.1
End18.0
red by 25.8
2342
#53
154.00.6
153.0153.6
Auto18.0
Teleop121.0
End16.7
Third
5735
#54
143.20.1
142.6142.7
Auto24.1
Teleop112.1
End9.5
red by 0.2
5856
#50
143.00.4
143.9143.4
Auto18.9
Teleop104.3
End21.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed