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Red307
3461166.9
88160.2
2370147.7
Blue309
7127131.0
2067163.3
177200.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326352100150200250300400450500307309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#47
166.91.7
169.8168.1
Auto20.3
Teleop127.2
End19.8
blue by 34.0
177
#3
200.90.5
198.3198.8
Auto21.2
Teleop144.6
End34.2
Second
88
#44
160.20.5
158.8159.3
Auto17.8
Teleop130.3
End13.3
blue by 3.1
2067
#39
163.30.3
163.8163.5
Auto22.0
Teleop116.8
End25.8
Third
2370
#48
147.71.1
149.5148.4
Auto20.5
Teleop113.9
End14.7
red by 16.6
7127
#12
131.00.7
129.8130.5
Auto19.2
Teleop98.4
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed55%Face the Boss oddsEarned