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Red414
4905158.2
2170166.8
1519179.8
Blue313
2067163.3
5735143.2
1729164.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387320100200500600700414313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#31
179.81.2
177.9179.1
Auto22.2
Teleop141.1
End18.0
red by 15.4
1729
#16
164.41.1
162.6163.7
Auto20.4
Teleop125.5
End20.1
Second
2170
#10
166.80.3
167.1166.8
Auto25.1
Teleop119.8
End21.9
red by 3.5
2067
#39
163.30.2
163.5163.3
Auto22.0
Teleop116.8
End25.8
Third
4905
#28
158.20.1
158.1158.2
Auto18.8
Teleop108.7
End28.3
red by 15.0
5735
#54
143.20.5
142.7143.2
Auto24.1
Teleop112.1
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
49%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed