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Red275
663156.5
2836156.8
1289141.6
Blue468
3461166.9
78175.9
4176133.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3273580100200400500600700800275468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2836
#33
156.80.4
156.4156.8
Auto19.8
Teleop112.6
End24.7
blue by 19.1
78
#32
175.90.9
176.4175.5
Auto22.4
Teleop125.8
End27.8
Second
663
#57
156.51.1
157.6156.5
Auto18.4
Teleop122.0
End13.1
blue by 10.4
3461
#47
166.91.2
168.1166.9
Auto20.3
Teleop127.2
End19.8
Third
1289
#43
141.60.6
141.0141.6
Auto18.1
Teleop103.7
End17.4
red by 7.9
4176
#41
133.70.8
132.9133.7
Auto17.1
Teleop101.6
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsEarned