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Red287
125214.9
5846149.0
811142.9
Blue368
1073158.4
3623163.7
5000142.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3983190100200500600700287368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#13
214.90.2
215.9216.1
Auto25.7
Teleop162.1
End25.7
red by 51.2
3623
#21
163.70.6
163.1163.7
Auto21.1
Teleop119.8
End22.8
Second
5846
#51
149.00.0
150.8150.7
Auto20.9
Teleop109.9
End15.8
blue by 9.5
1073
#20
158.41.5
156.9158.4
Auto19.4
Teleop126.6
End14.0
Third
811
#35
142.90.2
143.1142.9
Auto23.2
Teleop105.4
End12.6
red by 0.8
5000
#63
142.12.4
144.4142.1
Auto18.0
Teleop105.2
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed