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Red427
7127131.0
176192.6
2370147.7
Blue323
5962121.1
237173.5
6201155.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37130202006008001,000427323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#9
192.61.1
188.7189.8
Auto23.0
Teleop148.4
End21.1
red by 19.0
237
#27
173.50.3
172.8173.0
Auto20.7
Teleop126.8
End25.9
Second
2370
#48
147.70.7
148.4147.7
Auto20.5
Teleop113.9
End14.7
blue by 8.0
6201
#25
155.72.5
153.2155.7
Auto19.5
Teleop123.8
End16.3
Third
7127
#12
131.00.6
130.5131.0
Auto19.2
Teleop98.4
End15.7
red by 10.0
5962
#46
121.10.3
121.4121.1
Auto18.3
Teleop87.7
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed