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Red393
5687203.3
133214.1
1073158.4
Blue302
95181.2
2067163.3
3555166.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions410320200500600393302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#4
214.10.8
211.4212.2
Auto25.8
Teleop154.4
End33.3
red by 32.9
95
#29
181.20.8
182.0181.2
Auto17.2
Teleop143.0
End21.7
Second
203.30.8
201.6200.8
Auto22.4
Teleop156.0
End26.3
red by 36.9
3555
#34
166.40.5
163.8164.2
Auto20.8
Teleop122.3
End22.8
Third
1073
#20
158.40.1
147.5147.5
Auto19.4
Teleop126.6
End14.0
blue by 4.9
2067
#39
163.30.2
167.7167.9
Auto22.0
Teleop116.8
End25.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed