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Red308
5846149.0
138153.5
4557187.1
Blue390
4564191.2
1289141.6
177200.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3244170100200500600700800308390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4557
#11
187.10.2
179.4179.3
Auto21.5
Teleop136.8
End28.7
blue by 13.8
177
#3
200.90.3
189.8190.1
Auto21.2
Teleop144.6
End34.2
Second
138
#64
153.51.1
164.8163.8
Auto20.0
Teleop117.0
End16.7
blue by 37.6
4564
#24
191.20.4
194.1194.5
Auto23.6
Teleop145.8
End18.6
Third
5846
#51
149.01.3
144.5145.8
Auto20.9
Teleop109.9
End15.8
red by 7.4
1289
#43
141.61.4
130.9132.3
Auto18.1
Teleop103.7
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed