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Red422
999141.4
1768134.6
1073158.4
Blue244
5000142.1
2370147.7
5856143.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30034605001,0001,500422244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
#20
158.40.4
147.5147.1
Auto19.4
Teleop126.6
End14.0
red by 10.7
2370
#48
147.70.5
161.7161.2
Auto20.5
Teleop113.9
End14.7
Second
999
#52
141.41.4
141.6143.0
Auto16.8
Teleop110.1
End14.6
blue by 1.6
5856
#50
143.00.5
146.3145.8
Auto18.9
Teleop104.3
End21.1
Third
1768
#58
134.60.4
129.8129.5
Auto18.3
Teleop103.9
End17.8
blue by 7.4
5000
#63
142.10.9
161.9161.0
Auto18.0
Teleop105.2
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed