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Red297
2342154.0
6201155.7
88160.2
Blue367
3461166.9
3236163.6
1289141.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3563100100200400500600700297367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#44
160.21.5
167.8166.3
Auto17.8
Teleop130.3
End13.3
blue by 6.7
3461
#47
166.90.6
175.1174.4
Auto20.3
Teleop127.2
End19.8
Second
6201
#25
155.70.1
149.7149.6
Auto19.5
Teleop123.8
End16.3
blue by 7.9
163.60.0
158.9158.8
Auto20.2
Teleop116.6
End25.6
Third
2342
#53
154.01.5
152.1153.6
Auto18.0
Teleop121.0
End16.7
red by 12.5
1289
#43
141.61.4
133.1134.5
Auto18.1
Teleop103.7
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed