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Red315
999141.4
238206.5
58155.7
Blue229
4564191.2
6763178.3
4905158.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3563710200600800315229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#37
206.50.2
213.9213.7
Auto22.0
Teleop162.6
End20.6
red by 15.4
4564
#24
191.20.8
194.7195.5
Auto23.6
Teleop145.8
End18.6
Second
58
#45
155.70.6
158.5159.1
Auto17.2
Teleop122.9
End15.0
blue by 22.6
6763
#18
178.30.3
175.9176.2
Auto20.5
Teleop138.2
End21.6
Third
999
#52
141.42.0
143.0145.0
Auto16.8
Teleop110.1
End14.6
blue by 16.8
4905
#28
158.20.7
158.3159.1
Auto18.8
Teleop108.7
End28.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed