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Red289
2836156.8
1768134.6
125214.9
Blue310
1699153.1
95181.2
5813171.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344338250300400450289310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#13
214.90.5
215.7216.2
Auto25.7
Teleop162.1
End25.7
red by 33.7
95
#29DQ
181.20.3
180.4180.0
Auto17.2
Teleop143.0
End21.7
Second
2836
#33
156.80.6
161.3160.6
Auto19.8
Teleop112.6
End24.7
blue by 14.8
5813
#19
171.60.6
173.2172.6
Auto22.8
Teleop132.7
End15.8
Third
1768
#58
134.60.6
129.5130.1
Auto18.3
Teleop103.9
End17.8
blue by 18.5
1699
#61
153.10.4
151.5151.9
Auto19.1
Teleop113.7
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsEarned