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Red257
3236163.6
78175.9
1768134.6
Blue321
2170166.8
1729164.4
6329156.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327336260280300360380400420257321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#32
175.91.3
184.9183.6
Auto22.4
Teleop125.8
End27.8
red by 9.1
2170
#10
166.81.2
160.2161.5
Auto25.1
Teleop119.8
End21.9
Second
163.60.6
158.8159.4
Auto20.2
Teleop116.6
End25.6
blue by 0.8
1729
#16
164.41.4
149.3150.7
Auto20.4
Teleop125.5
End20.1
Third
1768
#58
134.60.2
130.1130.3
Auto18.3
Teleop103.9
End17.8
blue by 21.8
6329
#30
156.41.1
158.7159.8
Auto21.0
Teleop112.7
End22.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed