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Red279
238206.5
88160.2
2836156.8
Blue423
230220.9
5962121.1
319220.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3473980100200300500600279423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#37
206.50.8
213.7212.9
Auto22.0
Teleop162.6
End20.6
blue by 14.4
230
#8
220.90.3
219.9220.2
Auto25.4
Teleop168.5
End25.0
Second
88
#44
160.20.9
164.8163.9
Auto17.8
Teleop130.3
End13.3
blue by 59.8
319
#2
220.00.3
221.5221.9
Auto23.7
Teleop160.4
End35.7
Third
2836
#33
156.80.1
159.8159.7
Auto19.8
Teleop112.6
End24.7
red by 35.8
5962
#46
121.10.2
123.4123.6
Auto18.3
Teleop87.7
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed56%Face the Boss oddsMissed