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Red266
1289141.6
2170166.8
2370147.7
Blue447
3623163.7
5813171.6
238206.5
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2914280100200500600700800266447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2170
#10
166.81.0
161.5162.4
Auto25.1
Teleop119.8
End21.9
blue by 39.7
238
#37
206.50.9
212.9212.0
Auto22.0
Teleop162.6
End20.6
Second
2370
#48
147.71.7
159.0157.3
Auto20.5
Teleop113.9
End14.7
blue by 24.0
5813
#19
171.60.7
172.2171.5
Auto22.8
Teleop132.7
End15.8
Third
1289
#43
141.62.1
136.2138.4
Auto18.1
Teleop103.7
End17.4
blue by 22.1
3623
#21
163.70.6
156.9157.5
Auto21.1
Teleop119.8
End22.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed