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Red335
1071151.7
5422116.6
3236163.6
Blue311
3930129.4
237173.5
78175.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2893790200600800335311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.60.0
159.4159.4
Auto20.2
Teleop116.6
End25.6
blue by 12.4
78
#32
175.91.6
183.6182.0
Auto22.4
Teleop125.8
End27.8
Second
1071
#14
151.71.2
143.1144.2
Auto17.8
Teleop114.9
End18.1
blue by 21.8
237
#27
173.50.4
171.3171.6
Auto20.7
Teleop126.8
End25.9
Third
5422
#49
116.60.3
108.4108.7
Auto16.1
Teleop93.2
End6.8
blue by 12.8
3930
#59
129.41.6
131.4129.8
Auto18.0
Teleop98.1
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed