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Red182
5000142.1
999141.4
1519179.8
Blue502
177200.9
175184.3
176192.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2784280100200500600700800182502

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#31
179.80.3
184.0183.7
Auto22.2
Teleop141.1
End18.0
blue by 21.1
177
#3
200.91.7
192.1193.8
Auto21.2
Teleop144.6
End34.2
Second
5000
#63
142.11.5
157.3155.7
Auto18.0
Teleop105.2
End15.2
blue by 50.5
176
#9
192.61.6
178.0179.5
Auto23.0
Teleop148.4
End21.1
Third
999
#52
141.40.5
146.0146.4
Auto16.8
Teleop110.1
End14.6
blue by 42.9
175
#5
184.30.3
179.8179.5
Auto22.7
Teleop131.8
End30.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsMissed89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed67%Face the Boss oddsEarned