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Red413
811142.9
5735143.2
1058172.5
Blue297
2836156.8
7153107.7
1153145.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3832860200600800413297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#42
172.50.6
174.4173.8
Auto18.6
Teleop126.6
End26.9
red by 15.7
2836
#33
156.80.4
159.7159.4
Auto19.8
Teleop112.6
End24.7
Second
5735
#54
143.22.3
148.4146.1
Auto24.1
Teleop112.1
End9.5
blue by 2.2
1153
#60
145.40.5
147.1147.6
Auto22.3
Teleop102.9
End21.2
Third
811
#35
142.90.2
146.5146.3
Auto23.2
Teleop105.4
End12.6
red by 35.2
7153
#62
107.70.5
107.3106.7
Auto15.3
Teleop80.9
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed