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Red306
238206.5
2370147.7
4909167.0
Blue296
133214.1
4176133.7
5846149.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38034902006008001,0001,2001,400306296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#37
206.50.4
212.0211.6
Auto22.0
Teleop162.6
End20.6
blue by 7.6
133
#4
214.10.5
213.3213.8
Auto25.8
Teleop154.4
End33.3
Second
4909
#40
167.00.1
168.4168.5
Auto17.6
Teleop125.9
End26.0
red by 18.1
5846
#51
149.01.2
147.4148.6
Auto20.9
Teleop109.9
End15.8
Third
2370
#48
147.71.6
157.3155.7
Auto20.5
Teleop113.9
End14.7
red by 14.0
4176
#41
133.71.1
129.7130.8
Auto17.1
Teleop101.6
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsMissed93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed32%Face the Boss oddsMissed