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Red450
4905158.2
3236163.6
4557187.1
Blue275
1699153.1
5962121.1
4041160.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions409313100200500600700450275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4557
#11
187.11.3
181.7183.0
Auto21.5
Teleop136.8
End28.7
red by 27.1
4041
#55
160.10.0
157.9157.9
Auto20.4
Teleop117.6
End24.0
Second
163.60.5
159.4159.9
Auto20.2
Teleop116.6
End25.6
red by 10.5
1699
#61
153.10.4
152.8153.2
Auto19.1
Teleop113.7
End18.2
Third
4905
#28
158.20.9
157.8156.9
Auto18.8
Teleop108.7
End28.3
red by 37.1
5962
#46
121.10.0
123.6123.6
Auto18.3
Teleop87.7
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned75%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
48%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed