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Red419
1729164.4
1073158.4
3930129.4
Blue260
58155.7
3461166.9
4564191.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2584100100200300500600700800419260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1729
#16
164.41.6
151.8153.4
Auto20.4
Teleop125.5
End20.1
blue by 26.7
4564
#24
191.20.1
194.8194.9
Auto23.6
Teleop145.8
End18.6
Second
1073
#20
158.40.7
149.4150.0
Auto19.4
Teleop126.6
End14.0
blue by 8.5
3461
#47
166.90.7
174.1173.4
Auto20.3
Teleop127.2
End19.8
Third
3930
#59DQ
129.41.4
129.8128.4
Auto18.0
Teleop98.1
End17.1
blue by 26.3
58
#45
155.70.3
159.3159.6
Auto17.2
Teleop122.9
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed