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Qual 702018 New England District Championship
Red366
230220.9
5000142.1
467143.1
Blue351
78175.9
558154.3
2168180.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361347250300400450366351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#8
220.90.5
220.4→220.9
Auto25.4
Teleop168.5
End25.0
red by 40.4
2168
#38
180.51.1
184.3→183.3
Auto21.0
Teleop143.4
End15.5
Second
467
#22
143.11.7
134.8→136.5
Auto18.1
Teleop106.0
End17.4
blue by 32.9
78
#32
175.91.5
182.0→180.6
Auto22.4
Teleop125.8
End27.8
Third
5000
#63
142.12.6
155.7→153.1
Auto18.0
Teleop105.2
End15.2
blue by 12.2
558
#36
154.30.3
153.9→153.6
Auto23.7
Teleop108.6
End21.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
40%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsEarned