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Red214
78175.9
2342154.0
95181.2
Blue469
238206.5
4557187.1
176192.6
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334399200300500600214469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#29
181.20.0
181.3181.3
Auto17.2
Teleop143.0
End21.7
blue by 25.3
238
#37
206.50.9
211.6210.6
Auto22.0
Teleop162.6
End20.6
Second
78
#32
175.90.8
180.6179.7
Auto22.4
Teleop125.8
End27.8
blue by 16.6
176
#9
192.62.2
181.3183.4
Auto23.0
Teleop148.4
End21.1
Third
2342
#53
154.00.4
154.8155.2
Auto18.0
Teleop121.0
End16.7
blue by 33.1
4557
#11
187.11.7
183.0184.7
Auto21.5
Teleop136.8
End28.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsMissed