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Red196
5687203.3
175184.3
1153145.4
Blue510
125214.9
195242.5
1071151.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316459200400500600700800196510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.31.5
201.9203.4
Auto22.4
Teleop156.0
End26.3
blue by 39.2
195
#1
242.52.0
234.4236.4
Auto27.2
Teleop178.3
End35.4
Second
175
#5
184.30.8
179.7180.5
Auto22.7
Teleop131.8
End30.8
blue by 30.6
125
#13
214.90.2
214.9215.0
Auto25.7
Teleop162.1
End25.7
Third
1153
#60
145.40.5
147.6148.1
Auto22.3
Teleop102.9
End21.2
blue by 6.3
1071
#14
151.71.9
145.7147.6
Auto17.8
Teleop114.9
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsEarned54%Face the Boss oddsEarned