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Red302
133214.1
6329156.4
4909167.0
Blue362
7127131.0
319220.0
2168180.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365360250300400450302362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#4
214.10.3
213.8214.1
Auto25.8
Teleop154.4
End33.3
blue by 5.8
319
#2
220.01.7
222.1220.4
Auto23.7
Teleop160.4
End35.7
Second
4909
#40
167.00.4
168.5168.1
Auto17.6
Teleop125.9
End26.0
blue by 13.4
2168
#38
180.50.5
183.3182.7
Auto21.0
Teleop143.4
End15.5
Third
6329
#30
156.41.8
160.8159.1
Auto21.0
Teleop112.7
End22.0
red by 25.4
7127
#12
131.00.2
130.3130.5
Auto19.2
Teleop98.4
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsEarned32%Face the Boss oddsMissed