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Red305
1289141.6
6763178.3
3555166.4
Blue362
5856143.0
230220.9
177200.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295453100200400500600700305362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6763
#18
178.30.7
175.1175.7
Auto20.5
Teleop138.2
End21.6
blue by 42.6
230
#8
220.90.3
220.9221.2
Auto25.4
Teleop168.5
End25.0
Second
3555
#34
166.40.5
164.5165.0
Auto20.8
Teleop122.3
End22.8
blue by 34.5
177
#3
200.91.8
193.8195.7
Auto21.2
Teleop144.6
End34.2
Third
1289
#43
141.61.1
139.8140.9
Auto18.1
Teleop103.7
End17.4
blue by 1.4
5856
#50
143.00.2
143.9144.1
Auto18.9
Teleop104.3
End21.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed72%Face the Boss oddsEarned