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Red252
7153107.7
5846149.0
1768134.6
Blue466
1519179.8
6201155.7
663156.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2213720100300500600700252466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5846
#51
149.00.8
148.6149.5
Auto20.9
Teleop109.9
End15.8
blue by 30.8
1519
#31
179.83.3
182.0178.7
Auto22.2
Teleop141.1
End18.0
Second
1768
#58
134.60.9
130.0129.1
Auto18.3
Teleop103.9
End17.8
blue by 21.9
663
#57
156.52.2
162.5160.2
Auto18.4
Teleop122.0
End13.1
Third
7153
#62
107.70.3
106.7106.5
Auto15.3
Teleop80.9
End12.5
blue by 48.0
6201
#25
155.70.4
147.2147.6
Auto19.5
Teleop123.8
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsEarned