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Red302
4176133.7
3623163.7
558154.3
Blue488
3236163.6
1058172.5
133214.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289461100200400500600302488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3623
#21
163.71.1
159.5160.7
Auto21.1
Teleop119.8
End22.8
blue by 50.4
133
#4
214.10.0
214.1214.1
Auto25.8
Teleop154.4
End33.3
Second
558
#36
154.30.3
153.7154.0
Auto23.7
Teleop108.6
End21.5
blue by 18.3
1058
#42
172.51.0
173.4172.4
Auto18.6
Teleop126.6
End26.9
Third
4176
#41
133.70.2
131.5131.8
Auto17.1
Teleop101.6
End19.0
blue by 29.9
163.61.1
161.0162.1
Auto20.2
Teleop116.6
End25.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed35%Face the Boss oddsEarned