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Red378
6329156.4
6933161.3
6201155.7
Blue338
177200.9
1153145.4
237173.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310389100200500600378338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6933
#56
161.31.7
166.6164.9
Auto24.3
Teleop121.3
End14.7
blue by 39.6
177
#3
200.91.3
195.7196.9
Auto21.2
Teleop144.6
End34.2
Second
6329
#30
156.41.6
159.1157.5
Auto21.0
Teleop112.7
End22.0
blue by 17.1
237
#27
173.50.2
172.4172.7
Auto20.7
Teleop126.8
End25.9
Third
6201
#25
155.71.6
147.6149.1
Auto19.5
Teleop123.8
End16.3
red by 10.3
1153
#60
145.40.3
148.1147.9
Auto22.3
Teleop102.9
End21.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed39%Face the Boss oddsMissed