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Red175
999141.4
1071151.7
2170166.8
Blue429
1073158.4
3461166.9
230220.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2964220100200500600175429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2170
#10
166.82.2
164.5166.7
Auto25.1
Teleop119.8
End21.9
blue by 54.1
230
#8
220.90.0
221.2221.2
Auto25.4
Teleop168.5
End25.0
Second
1071
#14
151.71.9
147.6149.5
Auto17.8
Teleop114.9
End18.1
blue by 15.2
3461
#47
166.91.1
171.6170.5
Auto20.3
Teleop127.2
End19.8
Third
999
#52
141.40.6
144.5143.9
Auto16.8
Teleop110.1
End14.6
blue by 17.1
1073
#20
158.41.5
151.9153.4
Auto19.4
Teleop126.6
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed